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Updated: April 26, 2005 0:37 AM |
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Last Weather Letter from California Upper air pattern is El Nino-look-a-like with high latitude blocking over Alaska and Northwest Canada and below normal heights over southern Canada and much of the CONUS. Model mean predictions through next week depict a persistent southern stream flow across the Pacific 20 – 35 North Latitude and through the southern CONUS. Models show pretty decent upper level lows bringing fairly widespread precip with light to moderate totals in the Golden State Wed/Thu this week and Sun/Mon next week. Check out QPFs below for bias of heavier amounts in SoCal Wed/Thu. Should see a lot of thunderstorm activity Wed/Thu across CA with good moisture and high sun angle of late Apr. Rain timed well for our moving day of Thu by Mayflower. Would seem like better low elevation precip totals compared to last system with amounts in range of ¼ to ½ inch I-80 corridor and much of Central California. Only got 0.03 inches in Fairfield past weekend. Snow levels to 4500 feet Thu. http://grads.iges.org/pix/prec1.html (10-day precip forecast) http://grads.iges.org/pix/temp1.html (10-day temp forecast) http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/current/EXECSUM (executive summary by Matt Winston) http://www.ocs.oregonstate.edu/index.html http://sat.wrh.noaa.gov/satellite/4km/WR/IR4.GIF http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i.gif NorCal and CenCal 120-hour orographic model QPFs to 5AM/Sat/30 Apr include 1.0 inches in the Santa Cruz Mountains, 0.6 Feather and Kern, 0.5 San Joaquin, Santa Lucia Range, and Stanislaus, 0.4 American, 0.3 Arroyo Pasajero, 0.2 Eel and Shasta Dam, and 0.1 inches in the Russian River and Smith River basins. SoCal QPFs same period include 3.3 inches at Palomar Mountain, 3.1 San Jacinto Mtns, 2.9 Mount Wilson, 2.8 San Bernardino Mtns, 2.3 San Gabriel Mtns, and 1.0 inches in the Santa Ynez Mountains. Northern Sierra 8-Station Precip Index picked up 0.7 inches over the weekend for an Apr total of 3.2 inches, 82 percent of the monthly average. Seasonal total is up to 45.9 inches, 102 percent of average to date. Feather total was 0.9 inches. Randall Osterhuber reports 129.5 inches of snow since 19 Mar at Central Sierra Snow Lab. Seasonal snowfall is 463 inches, 117 percent of average. Snow water content of 35.9 inches on 25 Apr was 106 percent of average. California 72-hour remote sensor precip to 5AM/Mon/25 Apr includes 1.84 inches at Clear Creek (west of Redding), 1.80 at Shasta Dam, 1.66 at La Porte (Feather), 1.40 at Mount Umunhum (Santa Cruz Mtns), 1.12 at Taylor Ridge (Trinity), 0.95 at Ruth Lake (Mad), 0.94 at Quaking Aspen (Tule), 0.93 at Blue Canyon (American), 0.80 at Gianelli (Stanislaus), 0.60 at Orleans (Klamath), 0.56 at Big Meadows (Kings), 0.55 at Miranda (Eel), 0.52 at Venado (Russian), 0.48 at Big Sur, 0.45 at Bridgeville (Van Duzen), 0.44 at Poison Ridge (San Joaquin), 0.42 at Crabtree Meadows (Kern), 0.40 at Alpine Meadows (Tahoe), 0.28 at Salt Springs (Mokelumne), 0.25 at Big Bear, 0.24 at Honeydew (Mattole), Palomar Mountain, and Whispering Pines (Clear Lake), 0.17 at Case Mountain (Kaweah), and 0.16 inches at Gasquet (Smith). NorCal/CenCal 72-hour coop/city precip to 5AM/Mon/25 Apr includes 0.77 inches at Grass Valley, 0.70 at Redding, 0.62 at Quincy, 0.60 at Chester, 0.59 at Mount Shasta, 0.53 at Alturas, 0.48 at Paradise, 0.46 at Auburn and Porterville, 0.45 at Mineral, 0.42 at Chico, 0.36 at Burney, 0.35 at Red Bluff, 0.34 at Arcata, 0.31 at Monterey, 0.28 at San Jose, 0.25 at Ukiah, 0.21 at Livermore, 0.20 at Tahoe City, 0.18 at Montague/Siskiyou, 0.17 at Eureka at Wishon Dam, 0.15 at Bass Lake and San Rafael, 0.13 at Moffett Field and in downtown Sacramento, 0.11 inches at Oroville, and 0.04 inches at Fairfield. SoCal precip same period includes 0.43 inches at Santa Ana Radar, 0.33 at John Wayne Apt, 0.31 at Rialto, 0.30 at Chino Apt, 0.27 at Fullerton Apt, 0.22 at Morro Bay, 0.18 at Riverside Apt, 0.15 at Hawthorne, 0.14 at Paso Robles, 0.13 at San Luis Obispo Apt, and 0.11 inches on Long Beach Airport. It is my last day and I am writing a little and cleaning up my cubicle a lot. It is becoming a massive throw away. I am trying to clean things up a bit for the next meteorologist who will likely be selected in Sep 2005. Matt Winston has agreed to do the widely distributed daily 10-day forecast for Feather River basin precip and snow levels. We thank him for adding that to his long list of duties. We close on our Florida home this week by mail. It will be ours on Fri/29 Apr. We will live in Parrish at 31 feet elevation in northern Manatee County, about 10 miles from where my wife, Marty, grew up in Bradenton. Our home is by Lennar and has 2300 square feet all on one floor, 3-car garage, large master suite and 3 other bedrooms, 3 full baths, open concept for the combined kitchen and family room, and combined living room and dining room. We hired a separate contractor to put down mahogany floors in the living/dining room and master suite. We depart Fri/29 Apr and move in on Mon/9 May. House is on a quarter acre lot with a small lake (holding pond) to the north or back side of the house. Pool, spa, and lanai should be finished this week by Joan Brown, an award-winning pool designer/builder from Sarasota. Our home by Lennar is called the Montego. Same home in Sarasota by Lennar cost $93.000 more than in Parrish. It is hard to justify paying that much more for a snob-driven city name for an address. Our home price of $322,000 was established 1 Oct 2004 when we flew back to Florida for release of the second unit. It now costs $40,000 more to buy a Montego at Chelsea Oaks in Parrish, so we already have a nice chunk of equity. Larger lot, upgrades, pool and spa raise the price to $396,000 which is a really good deal. There is now a long waiting list (mostly baby boomers) for homes in Chelsea Oaks; we made our move at the right time. I hope to write a letter from Florida in May. Cheers! Bill Mork “Success is going from failure to failure without loss of enthusiasm” - Sir Winston Churchill William A. Mork More weather resources
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